Canada election 2025 live: Mark Carney’s Liberals win after Trump-dominated campaign cycle

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Prime minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is projected to win the federal election on Monday, which has been dominated by Donald Trump’s trade war and in the aftermath of a deadly car-ramming attack in Vancouver.

Voters chose the current prime minister and head of a Liberal party that has had a decade in power over leader of the opposition Conservatives Pierre Poilievre.

The Liberals are projected to win more of Parliament's 343 seats than the Conservatives, though it wasn't clear yet if they would win an outright majority,Mr Poilievre, a populist firebrand who campaigned with Trump-like bravado, had hoped to make the election a referendum on former prime minister Justin Trudeau, whose popularity declined before his resignation earlier this year as food and housing prices rose and immigration surged.

But then Mr Trump became the dominant issue as he slapped 25 per cent tariffs on Canada and repeatedly called for the country to become “the 51st state”.

Why was Donald Trump a crucial factor in Canadian election?

Even with Canadians grappling with the fallout from a deadly weekend attack at a Vancouver street festival, Donald Trump was trolling them on election day, suggesting on social media that he was on their ballot and repeating that Canada should become the 51st state.

He also erroneously claimed that the US subsidises Canada, writing, "It makes no sense unless Canada is a State!"

"Good luck to the Great people of Canada," he said.

US president Donald Trump delivers remarks at an event welcoming the 2025 Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles on the South Lawn of the White House on 28 April 2025 in Washington

US president Donald Trump delivers remarks at an event welcoming the 2025 Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles on the South Lawn of the White House on 28 April 2025 in Washington (Getty Images)

"Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power, for free, to the highest level in the World, have your Car, Steel, Aluminum, Lumber, Energy, and all other businesses, QUADRUPLE in size, WITH ZERO TARIFFS OR TAXES, if Canada becomes the cherished 51st. State of the United States of America. No more artificially drawn line from many years ago."

Mr Trump's truculence has infuriated many Canadians, leading many to cancel US vacations, refuse to buy American goods and possibly even vote early.

A record 7.3 million Canadians cast ballots before election day.

"The Americans want to break us so they can own us," Mark Carney said in the run-up to election day. "Those aren't just words. That's what's at risk."

Namita Singh29 April 2025 05:28

Poilievre’s Trump-lite campaign costs him election

The Conservative Party's leader Pierre Poilievre hoped to make the election a referendum on former prime minister Justin Trudeau, whose popularity declined toward the end of his decade in power as food and housing prices rose.

But Mr Trump attacked, Mr Trudeau resigned and Mark Carney, a two-time central banker, became the Liberal Party's leader and prime minister.

Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada and the Official Opposition, speaks during the 'Whistle Stop for Change' event on 27 April 2025

Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada and the Official Opposition, speaks during the 'Whistle Stop for Change' event on 27 April 2025 (EPA)

Mr Poilievre implored voters to "Get out to vote — for a change". After running a Trump-lite campaign for weeks, though, his similarities to the bombastic American leader might have cost him.

Reid Warren, a Toronto resident, said he voted Liberal because Poilievre "sounds like mini-Trump to me".

And he said Trump's tariffs are a worry.

"Canadians coming together from, you know, all the shade being thrown from the States is great, but it's definitely created some turmoil, that's for sure," he said.

Namita Singh29 April 2025 05:00

‘We were dead and buried’

Former justice minister David Lametti hailed prime minister Mark Carney for the Liberal Party’s win in the Canadian federal elections.

The Liberals looked headed for a crushing defeat until the American president started attacking Canada's economy and threatening its sovereignty, suggesting it should become the 51st state.

A supporter of Canada's prime minister Mark Carney holds a sign at the Liberal Party election night headquarters in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025

A supporter of Canada's prime minister Mark Carney holds a sign at the Liberal Party election night headquarters in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025 (Reuters)

Trump's actions infuriated Canadians and stoked a surge in nationalism that helped the Liberals flip the election narrative and win a fourth-straight term in power.

"We were dead and buried in December. Now we are going to form a government," Mr Lametti, a former Liberal Justice Minister, told broadcaster CTV.

"We have turned this around thanks to Mark," he said.

Namita Singh29 April 2025 04:38

What happens if no party wins a majority?

Canadians aren't directly electing their prime minister. Voters in each of Canada's 343 federal electoral districts are only electing their local representative to the House of Commons.

The leader of whichever party wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons will form a new government and serve as prime minister.

Supporters for Canada's prime minister and Liberal Party of Canada leader Mark Carney gather at a watch election party in Ottawa, Canada on 28 April 2025

Supporters for Canada's prime minister and Liberal Party of Canada leader Mark Carney gather at a watch election party in Ottawa, Canada on 28 April 2025 (AFP via Getty Images)

If no party wins a majority, a party — usually the one with the most seats — can form a minority government but must rely on support from some opposition members.

In rare cases, two or more parties might reach a formal agreement to form a coalition government together.

Namita Singh29 April 2025 04:15

Mark Carney retains his seat in Ottawa

Sitting prime minister Mark Carney has retained his seat in Ottawa. This makes him the first prime minister to hold a seat in Ottawa since the 1880s.

Canada's prime minister Mark Carney and his wife Diana Fox Carney watch the coverage of the election results at a hotel in downtown Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025

Canada's prime minister Mark Carney and his wife Diana Fox Carney watch the coverage of the election results at a hotel in downtown Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025 (Reuters)

The first non-Brit to run the Bank of England since it was founded in 1694 and the former head of Canada's central bank, Mr Carney entered the race to be Canada's next prime minister in January following Justin Trudeau's resignation.

His Liberal Party has been projected to win more of Parliament's 343 seats than the Conservatives. But it wasn't clear yet if the Liberals will win an outright majority, which would allow them to pass legislation without needing help.

Namita Singh29 April 2025 04:12

Mark Carney’s Liberals win election

Prime minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party won Canada's federal election on Monday, capping a stunning turnaround in fortunes fueled by US president Donald Trump's annexation threats and trade war.

The Liberals are projected to win more of Parliament's 343 seats than the Conservatives, though it wasn't clear yet if they would win an outright majority, which would allow them to pass legislation without needing help.

Supporters of Canada's prime minister Mark Carney react to polling numbers at the Liberal Party election night headquarters in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025

Supporters of Canada's prime minister Mark Carney react to polling numbers at the Liberal Party election night headquarters in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 28 April 2025 (Reuters)

The Liberals looked headed for a crushing defeat until the American president started attacking Canada's economy and threatening its sovereignty, suggesting it should become the 51st state.

Mr Trump's actions infuriated Canadians and stoked a surge in nationalism that helped the Liberals flip the election narrative and win a fourth-straight term in power.

The opposition Conservative Party's leader, Pierre Poilievre, hoped to make the election a referendum on former prime minister Justin Trudeau, whose popularity declined toward the end of his decade in power as food and housing prices rose.

Namita Singh29 April 2025 03:48

Profile: Who is Mark Carney? Canada’s prime minister fighting for re-election in Trump’s shadow

Mark Carney, Canada’s elected prime minister and head of the country’s Liberal Party, is going to the polls in the hope of re-election.

In recent months, the former governor of the UK’s Bank of England has to fight a war on two fronts. To the south he has had to contend with the Trump administration, which threatened then postponed crippling 25 percent tariffs on Canada, as well as taunted the country with the outlandish possibility of making it the 51st U.S. state.

Here’s what you need to know about him:

Mike Bedigan29 April 2025 03:30

All polls in Canada now closed

All of the polling stations in Canada are now closed.

The final polling stations in British Columbia and Yukon shut their doors at 10:00 p.m.

Now the count begins.

Mike Bedigan29 April 2025 03:00

More polls close, final stations to close soon

Polls in Ontario, Quebec and Nunavut, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, the Northwest Territories and bits of British Columbia are now closed.

Stations in the rest of British Columbia and Yukon are due to close soon also, at 10:00 p.m.

Mike Bedigan29 April 2025 02:30

Liberal party 'cautiously optimistic' ahead of results

A CBC journalist, reporting live from the Liberal Party’s headquarters in Ottawa says that the atmosphere is “cautiously optimistic.”

However, they note that there are still many tight races, including in British Columbia.

Mike Bedigan29 April 2025 02:00

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